November 5, 2015     Florin Dumitrescu

Romania’s housing market is heating up strongly, despite the political crisis

Romania has a long history of corruption and of protests against corruption, and Prime Minister Victor Ponta, who himself faces trial for corruption, has just resigned after some 20,000 people took to the streets in protest against a Bucharest nightclub fire.  But is this “same old, same old”?

Maybe not.  The fresh face in national politics is president Klaus Iohannis, elected in November 2014.  Previously mayor of Sibiu, he turned it into one of Romania´s most popular tourist destinations. His popular appeal is as outsider to the country´s corrupt and warring political elite, although he briefly became president of the National Liberal Party during June-December 2014.  Highly critical of Ponta, he is vocal about the need to curb Romania´s endemic corruption.

“In my opinion, it is much more than a mere government change,” said Iohannis of Ponta´s resignation.  “I believe we are talking about a paradigm change in the Romanian politics and I believe it is good…”

This potential sea-change in politics has coincided, largely by chance, with an economic upturn.

The Romanian economy is expected to grow 3.4% this year and by 3.9% in 2016, according to the IMF. Romania’s economy grew by 2.8% last year, after GDP growth of 3.4% in 2013. Citeste continuarea Romania’s housing market is heating up strongly, despite the political crisis

May 13, 2015     Florin Dumitrescu

Imobiliare in Romania – desen pentru intelesul tuturor

infografic_fraudaimobiliara.roSocietatea Dumitrescu & Asociatii, detinatoarea revistei on-line fraudaimobiliara.ro a solicitat echipei conduse de Andrei Deheleanu realizarea unui infografic despre piata imobiliara romaneasca si structura imobiliara a Romaniei in prima jumatare a anului 2015.
Rezultatele analizei realizate de Andrei Deheleanu sunt surprinzatoare. Romania nu este nici pe departe atat de urbanizata pe cat credeam iar diferentele intre preturile imobilelor se mentin ridicate intre marile orase.
Va invitam sa “parcurgeti” infograficul alaturat si speram sa intelegeti ca mai sunt inca multe de facut in #celedouaromanii.

Asteptam comentariile dumneavoastra!

July 12, 2014     Florin Dumitrescu

World through London’s eyes

Farmland values across the globe

The capital appreciation of farmland value is the main component of investment performance. This is tracked by our Global Farmland Index* launched in 2012 with values to 2010. Where data is available the Index now reports values to 2012.

Across the world farmland values continue to grow. Our Index shows an average global annualised growth since 2002 of 20%. This growth was fairly steady apart from a slight softening during 2009 and 2010 when there was a correction in the exceptional rates of growth in some of the mature markets, notably Ireland and Denmark. Capital values here have subsequently stabilised and are beginning to show positive growth.

Since 2011 capital growth across all markets has regained its previous momentum. Evidence, real and anecdotal, shows that this trend has continued into 2013 and we expect positive growth to continue in the short to medium term.

Key points from our Global Index:

• The highest growth rates were recorded in the emerging markets of Romania, Hungary, Poland, Zambia, Mozambique and Brazil. We expect this to continue.

Average farmland values in Romania grew by 40% per year – double the average annualised growth and was the fastest growth of any country since accession to the EU.

• Hungary and Brazil recorded annualised growth of around 25%.

• Polish farmland values recorded steady growth over the past 10 years, which has continued since the initial rise post accession into the EU in 2004.

• For the mature markets growth has remained healthy, from over 7% up to 20%, especially when compared with alternative property assets.

Africa

The farmland market in Africa is limited and immature but it is developing rapidly and we are regularly reviewing market data from this region.

Recent comparable evidence in Zambia, where several farms came to the market in 2012, suggests that capital growth can typically range between 20% and 60% per annum discounting value uplift related to infrastructure improvement.

This is highly variable and growth is specific to individual farms and locations and depends on the stage of infrastructure development, size, layout, water availability and operational performance. There is clearly demand for the premium product with proven operational capacity.

These include well established farms in the areas which have good external infrastructure, for example in the farm blocks of Mkushi.

Citeste continuarea World through London’s eyes

June 29, 2013     Florin Dumitrescu

Despre lucruri la care nu ma pricep

Creditul bancar in Romania. Nu ma pricep la asta. De fapt, intre noi fie vorba cred ca nimeni nu se pricepe la asta, desi e probabil ca numarul persoanelor care lucreaza in sistemul bancar romanesc este de cateva zeci de mii de oameni. Spre deosebire de ei, eu recunosc ca nu ma pricep la asta si ma voi limita sa filosofez pe aceasta tema. In nici un caz nu voi scrie despre dobanda bancara sau comisioanele practicate. De altfel definitiile acestora variaza intr-un milion de feluri de la banca la banca si de la o agentie la alta.

In opinia mea numarul bancilor din Romania este extrem de mic. Lipsa de concurenta intre banci si alte institutii financiar-bancare din Romania este principala cauza pentru care creditul bancar este extrem de scump iar procedurile bancare lipsite de transparenta. Cealalta cauza pentru care creditul este scump iar procedurile netransparente este disproportia extrem de mare intre puterea de negociere dintre cele doua parti – banca si clientul ei.

Ca multi dintre dvs. am incercat, la un moment dat, sa obtin un credit bancar.M-am confruntat in primul rand cu o birocratie iesita din comun, de neconceput pentru un mediu privat si concurential cum ar trebui sa fie cel bancar romanesc. Ma opresc sa scriu despre birocratie, asta pentru ca eu cred ca birocratia este apanajul intregii societati romanesti, din pacate. Ne vom intalni cu aceeasi birocratie si atunci cand vorbim despre… orice.

Apoi, m-am confruntat cu o lipsa acuta de viziune  a bancii. Spre ex. in urma parcurgerii procedurilor, banca a hotarat sa imi acorde un imprumut conditionat de plata dividendelor catre asociati. Valoarea creditului era usor mai mica decat valoarea impozitului pe care ar fi trebuit sa iI platesc pentru acele dividende. Ma intreb, cat de obtuzi ar fi trebuit sa fie functionarii cu putere de decizie din acea banca ca sa creada ca voi plati un impozit mai mare decat banii pe care ei mi i-ar fi oferit imprumut. Imprumut pe care, bineinteles ca ar fi trebuit sa il returnez dupa ce as fi platit si o dobanda la el. Nu exista un alt cuvant sinonim cu lipsa de logica.

Deci, eu cred ca aceasta sursa de finantare care este creditul bancar este extrem de scumpa, netransparenta, birocratica si lipsita de stabilitate. Lucrurile stau in felul asta datorita concurentei scazute intre banci si lipsei de reglementari bancare care sa protejeze mediul de afaceri si nu banca.

Citeste continuarea Despre lucruri la care nu ma pricep

Revista Ta de Educatie in Imobiliare si Constructii


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Florin Dumitrescu Linked In

Eu sunt Florin Dumitrescu si cred ca am o mare doza de naivitate si idealism. Idealism si naivitate. Desi pare o prezentare tinuta la Asociatia Idealistilor Anonimi, de fapt nu e decat o justificare, poate neverosimila a crearii acestei reviste. Da. Am creat aceasta revista in speranta naiva de a indrepta lucrurile (care trebuie sa recunoastem, nu merg foarte bine) in afacerile imobiliare.

Cere sfatul nostru

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